Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-12-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6676 522 0
FY ice 94 15974 444
MY ice 0 3306 11022
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5985 261 0
FY ice 257 16069 345
MY ice 0 3632 10423
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5529 614 0
FY ice 74 16184 373
MY ice 0 3580 10872
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5280 527 0
FY ice 102 16784 371
MY ice 0 3716 10713
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5274 520 0
FY ice 108 16752 402
MY ice 0 3755 10682

Date: 2017-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4009 565 0
FY ice 56 17089 306
MY ice 0 3796 10813
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4005 566 0
FY ice 60 17053 335
MY ice 0 3831 10784

Date: 2017-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2250 707 0
FY ice 2 17415 218
MY ice 0 3683 11381
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2210 637 0
FY ice 42 17462 266
MY ice 0 3706 11333

Date: 2017-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1446 844 0
FY ice 104 17235 265
MY ice 0 3691 11822
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1408 541 0
FY ice 142 17534 311
MY ice 0 3695 11776

Date: 2017-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1665 772 0
FY ice 200 17009 302
MY ice 0 3650 12191
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1629 454 0
FY ice 236 17349 335
MY ice 0 3628 12158


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