Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-11-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14261 1329 0
FY ice 123 13960 349
MY ice 0 2537 10884
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13636 1357 0
FY ice 234 14673 300
MY ice 0 2491 10939
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12779 1055 0
FY ice 65 15667 340
MY ice 0 2601 10704
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12165 554 0
FY ice 125 15872 317
MY ice 0 2692 11054
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12135 559 0
FY ice 155 15800 363
MY ice 0 2759 11008

Date: 2017-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12028 489 0
FY ice 475 16067 329
MY ice 0 2831 10723
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11939 470 0
FY ice 564 16010 348
MY ice 0 2907 10704

Date: 2017-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11984 482 0
FY ice 110 15996 331
MY ice 0 2719 11232
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11228 424 0
FY ice 866 15935 379
MY ice 0 2838 11184

Date: 2017-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12071 225 0
FY ice 273 15584 339
MY ice 0 2864 11135
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11179 202 0
FY ice 1165 15437 372
MY ice 0 3034 11102

Date: 2017-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9812 456 0
FY ice 43 16393 364
MY ice 0 3277 10283
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9436 420 0
FY ice 419 16218 368
MY ice 0 3488 10279


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