Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-11-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 113756 4178 0
FY ice 229 33917 4923
MY ice 0 3022 18302
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 113067 3375 0
FY ice 489 35471 5511
MY ice 0 2950 18630
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 112272 2674 0
FY ice 220 37875 4340
MY ice 0 3209 17280
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 111229 1590 0
FY ice 490 39177 3620
MY ice 0 3485 17315
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 111239 1616 0
FY ice 480 39159 3584
MY ice 0 3477 17351

Date: 2017-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 110148 1614 0
FY ice 917 39876 4253
MY ice 0 3781 16956
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 110101 1624 0
FY ice 964 39874 4175
MY ice 0 3773 17034

Date: 2017-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 110076 1757 0
FY ice 235 39006 5423
MY ice 0 3735 18250
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 108840 1357 0
FY ice 1471 39426 5423
MY ice 0 3715 18250

Date: 2017-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 109656 1402 0
FY ice 591 38026 5965
MY ice 0 4040 18373
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 108428 1132 0
FY ice 1819 38295 6083
MY ice 0 4041 18255

Date: 2017-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106671 1869 0
FY ice 276 39108 5180
MY ice 0 4759 16885
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106019 1587 0
FY ice 928 39396 5409
MY ice 0 4753 16656


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