Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-11-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16961 1195 0
FY ice 63 11342 651
MY ice 0 2016 11326
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15603 1656 0
FY ice 142 12259 536
MY ice 0 1948 11460
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15489 981 0
FY ice 110 13061 452
MY ice 0 2113 11500
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14998 938 0
FY ice 115 13509 362
MY ice 0 2541 10901
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14955 807 0
FY ice 158 13567 414
MY ice 0 2614 10849

Date: 2017-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13896 1461 0
FY ice 140 14426 319
MY ice 0 2567 10833
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13870 1211 0
FY ice 166 14617 368
MY ice 0 2626 10784

Date: 2017-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13121 1220 0
FY ice 83 15349 334
MY ice 0 2527 10971
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12999 1204 0
FY ice 205 15342 378
MY ice 0 2550 10927

Date: 2017-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12624 656 0
FY ice 47 15775 278
MY ice 0 2714 10582
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12486 697 0
FY ice 185 15682 305
MY ice 0 2766 10555

Date: 2017-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11908 463 0
FY ice 210 16065 319
MY ice 0 2745 10700
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11632 802 0
FY ice 486 15587 329
MY ice 0 2884 10690


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