Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-10-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20216 2018 0
FY ice 136 7189 956
MY ice 0 1149 11937
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19471 1948 0
FY ice 188 7662 966
MY ice 0 1495 11742
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19611 1783 0
FY ice 62 8240 859
MY ice 0 1655 11710
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18660 1759 0
FY ice 25 8977 868
MY ice 0 1688 11743
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18669 1885 0
FY ice 16 8746 951
MY ice 0 1793 11660

Date: 2017-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17606 1969 0
FY ice 63 9862 849
MY ice 0 1534 11908
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17616 2063 0
FY ice 53 9648 945
MY ice 0 1654 11812

Date: 2017-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17289 1732 0
FY ice 19 10599 801
MY ice 0 1719 11678
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17214 2090 0
FY ice 94 10138 888
MY ice 0 1822 11591

Date: 2017-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16863 1641 0
FY ice 49 11018 815
MY ice 0 1889 11424
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16831 2136 2
FY ice 81 10487 889
MY ice 0 1925 11348

Date: 2017-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16961 1195 0
FY ice 63 11342 651
MY ice 0 2016 11326
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16795 1589 0
FY ice 229 10929 688
MY ice 0 2035 11289


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