Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-10-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100152 549 0
FY ice 19 1643 815
MY ice 0 83 4361
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100595 323 0
FY ice 59 1335 1267
MY ice 0 70 4335
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100869 274 4
FY ice 26 823 1787
MY ice 0 15 4325
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100326 711 9
FY ice 17 917 1983
MY ice 0 8 4116
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100323 711 10
FY ice 20 891 1728
MY ice 0 34 4370

Date: 2017-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99873 894 16
FY ice 8 1198 2309
MY ice 0 2 3905
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99873 889 15
FY ice 8 1197 1972
MY ice 0 8 4243

Date: 2017-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99864 712 13
FY ice 1 1005 2639
MY ice 0 0 3885
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99856 661 15
FY ice 9 1056 2326
MY ice 0 0 4196

Date: 2017-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99189 1087 4
FY ice 9 1288 2689
MY ice 0 0 3911
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99179 978 10
FY ice 19 1397 2603
MY ice 0 0 3991

Date: 2017-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99188 735 0
FY ice 30 1541 2567
MY ice 0 0 3889
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99167 841 7
FY ice 51 1435 2590
MY ice 0 0 3859


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