Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice type - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-10-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13800 1334 0
FY ice 8 4577 637
MY ice 0 591 1123
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13068 1688 0
FY ice 18 5590 924
MY ice 0 534 1410
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13188 1077 0
FY ice 21 5817 1590
MY ice 0 397 1629
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11962 2031 0
FY ice 32 6967 1070
MY ice 0 382 2107
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11943 1924 0
FY ice 51 6965 962
MY ice 0 491 2215

Date: 2017-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10982 2391 0
FY ice 67 6860 2426
MY ice 0 210 3626
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10947 2356 0
FY ice 102 6849 2327
MY ice 0 256 3725

Date: 2017-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10184 1724 0
FY ice 53 7127 4859
MY ice 0 127 4691
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10048 2493 0
FY ice 189 6350 4673
MY ice 0 135 4877

Date: 2017-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8816 1307 2
FY ice 33 8325 5757
MY ice 0 68 4769
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8622 2187 3
FY ice 227 7449 5519
MY ice 0 64 5006

Date: 2017-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8058 996 0
FY ice 122 9290 5903
MY ice 0 76 4700
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8086 1525 0
FY ice 94 8753 5752
MY ice 0 84 4851


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