Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-10-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 26872 0 0
FY ice 64 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 26425 1024 0
FY ice 84 4429 46
MY ice 0 2787 4910
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 26176 765 0
FY ice 63 5385 40
MY ice 0 2739 2903
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 26425 354 0
FY ice 309 5178 52
MY ice 0 2658 5185
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 26429 373 0
FY ice 305 5070 52
MY ice 0 2747 5185

Date: 2017-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 25746 809 0
FY ice 83 5975 66
MY ice 0 2524 6241
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 25728 828 0
FY ice 101 5879 65
MY ice 0 2601 6242

Date: 2017-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24997 783 0
FY ice 34 6606 84
MY ice 0 2260 6512
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24981 1111 0
FY ice 50 6170 88
MY ice 0 2368 6508

Date: 2017-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24211 1136 0
FY ice 26 6766 67
MY ice 0 2219 6813
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24140 1108 0
FY ice 97 6715 67
MY ice 0 2298 6813

Date: 2017-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23829 1125 0
FY ice 82 6980 71
MY ice 0 1847 8253
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23529 1018 0
FY ice 382 7028 55
MY ice 0 1906 8269


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