Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-05-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 170 7 0
FY ice 506 10853 817
MY ice 59 2777 6881
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 288 22 0
FY ice 967 9813 1328
MY ice 200 2872 6730
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 825 0 0
FY ice 719 0 0
MY ice 60 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 950 0 0
FY ice 925 0 0
MY ice 43 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 979 0 0
FY ice 914 0 0
MY ice 25 0 0

Date: 2017-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 977 0 0
FY ice 979 0 0
MY ice 44 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 998 0 0
FY ice 973 0 0
MY ice 29 0 0

Date: 2017-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1647 0 0
FY ice 467 0 0
MY ice 6 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1136 0 0
FY ice 935 0 0
MY ice 49 0 0

Date: 2017-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1765 0 0
FY ice 628 0 0
MY ice 77 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1325 0 0
FY ice 1032 0 0
MY ice 113 0 0

Date: 2017-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1815 0 0
FY ice 766 0 0
MY ice 38 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1424 0 0
FY ice 1106 0 0
MY ice 89 0 0


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