Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-05-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20 38 0
FY ice 36 9003 2408
MY ice 0 2107 10550
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21 3 0
FY ice 83 8896 2538
MY ice 0 1805 10099
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87 63 1
FY ice 67 10284 1271
MY ice 2 2113 8904
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137 15 0
FY ice 250 11108 708
MY ice 27 2634 7343
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 127 20 0
FY ice 257 11153 576
MY ice 30 2584 7475

Date: 2017-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 224 11 0
FY ice 700 10501 930
MY ice 91 2891 6961
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 215 11 0
FY ice 714 10553 795
MY ice 86 2839 7096

Date: 2017-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 742 149 0
FY ice 727 9860 969
MY ice 76 2958 6574
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 240 80 0
FY ice 1055 9867 917
MY ice 250 3020 6626

Date: 2017-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 903 0 0
FY ice 780 0 0
MY ice 52 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 310 0 0
FY ice 1201 0 0
MY ice 224 0 0

Date: 2017-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 958 0 0
FY ice 956 0 0
MY ice 19 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 460 0 0
FY ice 1282 0 0
MY ice 191 0 0


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