Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-05-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 16 0
FY ice 42 9394 1940
MY ice 0 2066 10182
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 28 0
FY ice 28 9512 2303
MY ice 0 2100 9975
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17 36 14
FY ice 62 8883 2236
MY ice 0 2215 10470
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6 32 2
FY ice 29 8353 2452
MY ice 1 2154 10589
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 31 2
FY ice 28 8374 2296
MY ice 3 2134 10745

Date: 2017-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22 15 0
FY ice 49 9297 2413
MY ice 0 1990 10387
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19 13 2
FY ice 52 9349 2264
MY ice 0 1940 10534

Date: 2017-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88 34 9
FY ice 57 9396 1688
MY ice 0 1829 9518
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 30 22 1
FY ice 114 9423 1538
MY ice 1 1814 9676

Date: 2017-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91 28 0
FY ice 159 10907 951
MY ice 1 2368 8062
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 41 29 0
FY ice 209 11041 806
MY ice 1 2233 8207

Date: 2017-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 170 7 0
FY ice 506 10853 817
MY ice 59 2777 6881
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 104 15 0
FY ice 593 10904 669
MY ice 38 2718 7029


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