Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-04-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 52 0
FY ice 8 10471 1651
MY ice 0 2408 9554
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 36 0
FY ice 0 10464 1697
MY ice 1 2304 10128
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 0 0
FY ice 5 9771 1381
MY ice 17 2207 10339
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 2 0
FY ice 6 9663 1674
MY ice 0 2144 10437
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 2 0
FY ice 6 9666 1504
MY ice 0 2141 10607

Date: 2017-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 15 0
FY ice 2 9183 2387
MY ice 0 2067 10110
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 15 0
FY ice 2 9194 2263
MY ice 0 2056 10234

Date: 2017-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20 19 0
FY ice 60 9524 2267
MY ice 0 2136 10350
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 28 0
FY ice 76 9537 2074
MY ice 1 2114 10543

Date: 2017-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17 30 1
FY ice 60 8209 2438
MY ice 2 2193 10587
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11 26 0
FY ice 68 8254 2201
MY ice 0 2152 10825

Date: 2017-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20 38 0
FY ice 36 9003 2408
MY ice 0 2107 10550
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14 32 0
FY ice 42 9085 2194
MY ice 0 2031 10764


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