Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-04-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84117 63 521
FY ice 288 30947 4321
MY ice 3 3561 15707
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84281 66 335
FY ice 302 29647 4607
MY ice 1 3475 16391
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84103 17 886
FY ice 47 29333 4429
MY ice 17 3368 17019
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84056 33 552
FY ice 153 28731 5006
MY ice 0 3232 17422
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84055 36 549
FY ice 154 28717 4918
MY ice 0 3243 17513

Date: 2017-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84070 41 418
FY ice 26 27185 5999
MY ice 0 3198 16946
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84066 39 421
FY ice 30 27189 5932
MY ice 0 3196 17010

Date: 2017-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84673 38 405
FY ice 77 27729 5765
MY ice 0 3176 16592
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84620 66 410
FY ice 129 27692 5647
MY ice 1 3185 16705

Date: 2017-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84627 41 587
FY ice 163 25461 6087
MY ice 2 3286 16814
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84576 48 576
FY ice 216 25414 5928
MY ice 0 3326 16984

Date: 2017-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84789 89 504
FY ice 110 24970 6690
MY ice 0 3118 17113
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84746 91 494
FY ice 153 24897 6552
MY ice 0 3189 17261


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