Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-04-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84296 280 350
FY ice 93 37288 7021
MY ice 0 3722 18302
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84256 267 337
FY ice 92 35750 7199
MY ice 0 3597 18452
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84606 171 330
FY ice 8 33445 8273
MY ice 0 3334 19138
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84493 99 406
FY ice 42 31759 7800
MY ice 0 3531 19434
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84482 103 402
FY ice 53 31696 7723
MY ice 0 3590 19515

Date: 2017-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84413 115 271
FY ice 78 30139 8297
MY ice 8 3460 18972
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84406 118 272
FY ice 85 30142 8197
MY ice 8 3454 19071

Date: 2017-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84653 9 438
FY ice 40 29683 7353
MY ice 0 3193 19157
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84548 37 428
FY ice 145 29640 7365
MY ice 0 3208 19155

Date: 2017-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84698 20 437
FY ice 98 29158 6857
MY ice 0 3321 18210
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84538 70 428
FY ice 258 29134 6892
MY ice 0 3295 18184

Date: 2017-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84219 47 480
FY ice 116 31679 6402
MY ice 0 3433 18710
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84062 95 487
FY ice 273 31684 6289
MY ice 0 3380 18816


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