Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-01-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21971 616
MY ice 0 4839 7462
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 22109 666
MY ice 0 4097 8253
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21978 714
MY ice 0 3979 8600
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 22068 741
MY ice 0 3824 8567
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 22086 809
MY ice 0 3806 8499

Date: 2017-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 22037 689
MY ice 0 3665 8595
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 22111 666
MY ice 0 3591 8618

Date: 2017-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 2 0
FY ice 0 22134 777
MY ice 0 3456 8489
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 22150 797
MY ice 0 3442 8469

Date: 2017-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 4 0
FY ice 4 22280 664
MY ice 0 3957 7914
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 4 22222 684
MY ice 0 4019 7894

Date: 2017-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 17 0
FY ice 15 21751 706
MY ice 0 3505 8646
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 19 21671 668
MY ice 0 3602 8684


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