Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-12-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92877 683 0
FY ice 735 4328 1624
MY ice 2 458 3523
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92449 537 5
FY ice 971 4105 1977
MY ice 5 364 3675
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92627 384 0
FY ice 213 4445 2040
MY ice 0 178 3759
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92106 457 0
FY ice 377 4906 1568
MY ice 0 289 3352
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92127 459 0
FY ice 356 4922 1593
MY ice 0 271 3327

Date: 2016-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92417 319 0
FY ice 563 5028 1957
MY ice 0 155 3322
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92388 310 0
FY ice 592 5038 1981
MY ice 0 154 3298

Date: 2017-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91516 536 18
FY ice 30 5268 2113
MY ice 0 288 3042
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91295 496 16
FY ice 251 5315 2162
MY ice 0 281 2995

Date: 2017-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90425 720 10
FY ice 60 5195 2411
MY ice 0 136 3487
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90269 593 7
FY ice 216 5316 2543
MY ice 0 142 3358

Date: 2017-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91110 567 0
FY ice 198 5668 2018
MY ice 0 196 3328
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90901 530 0
FY ice 407 5736 2102
MY ice 0 165 3244


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