Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-12-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95547 1125 0
FY ice 2908 46063 3731
MY ice 2 4997 11340
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94172 957 5
FY ice 3423 45144 5644
MY ice 10 3332 13613
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94255 506 0
FY ice 1078 47005 5809
MY ice 0 3116 14464
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93080 604 0
FY ice 603 48005 5245
MY ice 0 3286 14335
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93105 610 0
FY ice 578 47855 5399
MY ice 0 3430 14181

Date: 2016-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93258 527 0
FY ice 800 47814 5895
MY ice 0 3193 14702
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93236 527 0
FY ice 822 47702 6017
MY ice 0 3305 14580

Date: 2017-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92255 766 18
FY ice 122 48020 5749
MY ice 0 3637 14327
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91922 758 16
FY ice 455 47895 5964
MY ice 0 3770 14114

Date: 2017-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91083 894 10
FY ice 119 48253 5361
MY ice 0 3596 14617
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90845 803 7
FY ice 357 48204 5668
MY ice 0 3736 14313

Date: 2017-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91762 624 0
FY ice 297 48070 5352
MY ice 0 3612 14815
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91427 743 0
FY ice 632 48012 5610
MY ice 0 3551 14557


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