Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-12-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92832 735 4
FY ice 99 5213 2340
MY ice 0 287 4221
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92970 537 5
FY ice 322 5029 1532
MY ice 0 334 3554
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93284 530 1
FY ice 601 4307 1607
MY ice 0 400 3582
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92916 738 0
FY ice 712 4533 1512
MY ice 0 525 3497
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92982 742 0
FY ice 646 4581 1503
MY ice 0 473 3506

Date: 2016-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92684 618 0
FY ice 845 4270 1781
MY ice 4 542 3617
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92669 623 0
FY ice 860 4310 1782
MY ice 4 497 3616

Date: 2016-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93290 357 0
FY ice 300 4229 1790
MY ice 1 395 3436
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92462 448 0
FY ice 1124 4157 1810
MY ice 5 376 3416

Date: 2016-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92355 479 1
FY ice 278 4855 1470
MY ice 0 349 3279
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91760 518 1
FY ice 873 4840 1504
MY ice 0 325 3245

Date: 2016-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91988 360 0
FY ice 434 5386 1683
MY ice 0 213 3406
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91539 501 0
FY ice 883 5264 1731
MY ice 0 194 3358


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