Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-12-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93745 465 30
FY ice 52 4289 3300
MY ice 0 144 4429
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93157 399 46
FY ice 222 4478 3297
MY ice 0 221 4271
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92853 743 27
FY ice 85 4947 3060
MY ice 0 305 3945
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92693 730 17
FY ice 127 5098 2581
MY ice 0 317 4162
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92691 724 21
FY ice 129 5131 2659
MY ice 0 290 4080

Date: 2016-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92967 667 2
FY ice 166 5409 1656
MY ice 0 298 4121
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92960 663 6
FY ice 173 5449 1743
MY ice 0 262 4030

Date: 2016-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93190 578 2
FY ice 127 4844 1707
MY ice 0 390 3710
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92833 513 3
FY ice 484 4981 1795
MY ice 0 318 3621

Date: 2016-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92981 682 0
FY ice 667 4447 1905
MY ice 0 437 3674
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92555 651 0
FY ice 1093 4590 2043
MY ice 0 325 3536

Date: 2016-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92877 683 0
FY ice 735 4328 1624
MY ice 2 458 3523
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92264 706 0
FY ice 1346 4394 1685
MY ice 4 369 3462


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