Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-12-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 104163 915 30
FY ice 624 46113 7028
MY ice 0 2795 13912
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101618 1278 49
FY ice 456 46605 7649
MY ice 0 2911 14053
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100246 1366 28
FY ice 224 47302 7742
MY ice 0 2855 14450
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97629 1132 17
FY ice 412 47719 6594
MY ice 0 2888 14603
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97604 1164 21
FY ice 437 47571 6753
MY ice 0 3004 14440

Date: 2016-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97190 1022 2
FY ice 386 48845 4943
MY ice 0 3271 14042
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97186 1023 6
FY ice 390 48830 4959
MY ice 0 3285 14022

Date: 2016-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96509 890 2
FY ice 171 48563 4258
MY ice 0 3944 12941
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95985 761 3
FY ice 695 48652 4415
MY ice 0 3984 12783

Date: 2016-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96146 1031 0
FY ice 1591 47436 4046
MY ice 0 4242 12244
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95374 853 0
FY ice 2363 47512 4250
MY ice 0 4344 12040

Date: 2016-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95547 1125 0
FY ice 2908 46063 3731
MY ice 2 4997 11340
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94598 1093 0
FY ice 3846 45661 3692
MY ice 13 5431 11379


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