Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-12-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94480 857 0
FY ice 53 3763 3136
MY ice 0 180 4169
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94264 682 2
FY ice 19 3822 3257
MY ice 0 151 4357
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93720 869 1
FY ice 62 4007 3092
MY ice 0 80 4553
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93596 544 73
FY ice 98 4239 3081
MY ice 0 171 4450
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93587 531 74
FY ice 107 4270 3206
MY ice 0 153 4324

Date: 2016-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93356 448 75
FY ice 83 4473 3360
MY ice 0 176 4333
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93348 388 71
FY ice 91 4553 3533
MY ice 0 156 4164

Date: 2016-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92994 577 18
FY ice 81 4658 3240
MY ice 0 272 4145
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92855 500 19
FY ice 220 4792 3372
MY ice 0 215 4012

Date: 2016-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92710 755 0
FY ice 92 5028 2865
MY ice 0 328 3842
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92511 633 2
FY ice 291 5270 3013
MY ice 0 208 3692

Date: 2016-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92832 735 4
FY ice 99 5213 2340
MY ice 0 287 4221
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92590 695 4
FY ice 341 5323 2736
MY ice 0 217 3825


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