Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-12-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9161 346 0
FY ice 75 22407 2178
MY ice 0 1292 8357
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8770 356 0
FY ice 40 22668 2206
MY ice 0 1316 8345
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8880 268 0
FY ice 59 22804 1590
MY ice 0 1543 8062
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8041 332 0
FY ice 139 23077 1331
MY ice 0 1616 7881
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8052 307 0
FY ice 128 22894 1262
MY ice 0 1824 7950

Date: 2016-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6391 591 0
FY ice 84 23223 1218
MY ice 0 2185 7390
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6413 560 0
FY ice 62 23052 1188
MY ice 0 2387 7420

Date: 2016-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5287 574 0
FY ice 35 23051 1814
MY ice 0 1930 8047
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5277 764 0
FY ice 45 22752 1763
MY ice 0 2039 8098

Date: 2016-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4231 190 0
FY ice 86 22837 1711
MY ice 0 2008 8299
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4270 269 0
FY ice 47 22635 1731
MY ice 0 2131 8279

Date: 2016-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2860 157 0
FY ice 112 22620 1530
MY ice 0 2197 8219
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2930 195 0
FY ice 42 22509 1489
MY ice 0 2270 8260


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