Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-12-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10237 196 0
FY ice 303 22217 1239
MY ice 0 1494 7880
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9870 296 0
FY ice 243 22192 1525
MY ice 0 1578 7987
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9897 336 0
FY ice 166 22015 1896
MY ice 0 1441 8334
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9414 327 0
FY ice 139 22326 2078
MY ice 0 1385 8351
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9412 347 0
FY ice 141 22108 1909
MY ice 0 1583 8520

Date: 2016-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8909 438 0
FY ice 78 22462 2234
MY ice 0 1104 8604
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8897 447 0
FY ice 90 22226 2076
MY ice 0 1331 8762

Date: 2016-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8999 295 0
FY ice 25 22665 1970
MY ice 0 1516 8174
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8939 155 0
FY ice 85 22536 1864
MY ice 0 1785 8280

Date: 2016-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8372 340 0
FY ice 141 22927 1420
MY ice 0 1689 7777
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8226 279 0
FY ice 287 22703 1380
MY ice 0 1974 7817

Date: 2016-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7133 358 0
FY ice 155 23039 1348
MY ice 0 1863 7723
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6938 342 0
FY ice 350 22829 1308
MY ice 0 2089 7763


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