Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-12-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 112526 1215 0
FY ice 473 41875 6756
MY ice 0 2083 13966
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 110848 1344 0
FY ice 527 42566 7179
MY ice 0 2265 13918
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 110117 1351 0
FY ice 245 43157 7703
MY ice 0 2203 14104
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 108361 1385 0
FY ice 267 43766 8666
MY ice 0 2085 14566
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 108354 1460 0
FY ice 274 43482 8614
MY ice 0 2294 14618

Date: 2016-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106641 1545 0
FY ice 268 44285 8898
MY ice 0 1921 14924
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106605 1609 0
FY ice 304 44038 8849
MY ice 0 2104 14973

Date: 2016-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106695 1312 1
FY ice 34 44181 8506
MY ice 0 2279 15061
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106418 1081 1
FY ice 311 44196 8688
MY ice 0 2495 14879

Date: 2016-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 105746 1165 1
FY ice 451 45386 7046
MY ice 0 2448 14335
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 105201 1195 0
FY ice 996 45155 7236
MY ice 0 2649 14146

Date: 2016-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 104163 915 30
FY ice 624 46113 7028
MY ice 0 2795 13912
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 103230 960 54
FY ice 1557 45962 7167
MY ice 0 2901 13749


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