Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-11-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11820 128 0
FY ice 1030 20476 1106
MY ice 0 1180 7708
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11440 202 0
FY ice 810 21311 797
MY ice 0 1466 7535
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11153 440 0
FY ice 496 21677 578
MY ice 0 1522 7539
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11169 223 0
FY ice 574 21875 652
MY ice 0 1674 7436
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11189 228 0
FY ice 554 21760 590
MY ice 0 1784 7498

Date: 2016-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11232 289 0
FY ice 646 21755 965
MY ice 0 1516 7478
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11234 242 0
FY ice 644 21686 909
MY ice 0 1632 7534

Date: 2016-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10847 225 0
FY ice 122 22332 975
MY ice 0 1690 7499
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10587 344 0
FY ice 382 22081 918
MY ice 0 1822 7556

Date: 2016-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10760 135 0
FY ice 438 22022 1123
MY ice 0 1637 7619
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10525 215 0
FY ice 673 21791 1055
MY ice 0 1788 7687

Date: 2016-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10237 196 0
FY ice 303 22217 1239
MY ice 0 1494 7880
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10150 227 0
FY ice 390 21987 1189
MY ice 0 1693 7930


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