Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-11-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 123096 1457 0
FY ice 1817 27986 8493
MY ice 0 1152 14126
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 120105 1237 0
FY ice 2174 32282 6831
MY ice 0 1452 13478
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 118058 944 0
FY ice 2694 34628 5074
MY ice 0 1639 12450
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116151 707 0
FY ice 2613 37678 5443
MY ice 5 1365 13475
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116347 762 0
FY ice 2417 37426 5584
MY ice 5 1562 13334

Date: 2016-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 115179 612 0
FY ice 2301 40313 4423
MY ice 5 2313 11964
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 115241 680 0
FY ice 2239 40135 4521
MY ice 5 2423 11866

Date: 2016-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116449 858 0
FY ice 404 41940 3023
MY ice 1 2296 11943
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 114840 692 0
FY ice 2009 42022 3181
MY ice 5 2380 11785

Date: 2016-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116310 834 1
FY ice 1027 41923 2653
MY ice 0 3033 11208
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 114481 773 1
FY ice 2855 42030 2615
MY ice 1 2987 11246

Date: 2016-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 117435 369 0
FY ice 1776 39215 4444
MY ice 0 2555 12704
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 114547 364 0
FY ice 4661 39076 4652
MY ice 3 2699 12496


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