Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-10-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98245 195 23
FY ice 5 673 2310
MY ice 0 10 5944
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98182 240 0
FY ice 19 1079 2296
MY ice 0 44 6113
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98220 431 0
FY ice 9 1228 1828
MY ice 0 57 5875
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98501 264 0
FY ice 20 2516 583
MY ice 0 210 5501
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98484 257 0
FY ice 37 2507 647
MY ice 0 226 5437

Date: 2016-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98450 228 0
FY ice 103 1352 1740
MY ice 0 82 5630
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98401 215 0
FY ice 152 1367 1786
MY ice 0 80 5584

Date: 2016-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98624 251 0
FY ice 5 1267 2081
MY ice 0 79 5330
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98310 188 0
FY ice 319 1333 2068
MY ice 0 76 5343

Date: 2016-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98522 307 0
FY ice 26 1363 1803
MY ice 0 258 4722
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98308 238 0
FY ice 240 1422 1772
MY ice 0 268 4753

Date: 2016-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98403 387 0
FY ice 52 1112 2346
MY ice 0 83 5242
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98115 297 0
FY ice 340 1210 2284
MY ice 0 75 5304


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