Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice type - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-10-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12452 45 0
FY ice 996 3918 9551
MY ice 0 1 1962
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11565 43 5
FY ice 1163 5890 8156
MY ice 0 79 1876
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11489 115 0
FY ice 595 8569 6223
MY ice 0 50 1759
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10454 430 0
FY ice 653 10657 4648
MY ice 0 225 1123
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10305 432 0
FY ice 802 10631 5019
MY ice 0 249 752

Date: 2016-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9977 327 0
FY ice 740 11362 4925
MY ice 0 186 1247
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9723 380 0
FY ice 994 11283 5142
MY ice 0 212 1030

Date: 2016-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10448 322 0
FY ice 80 11635 4920
MY ice 0 224 1115
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9059 344 0
FY ice 1469 11583 5068
MY ice 0 254 967

Date: 2016-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9862 428 0
FY ice 128 12046 4895
MY ice 0 274 1101
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8313 398 0
FY ice 1677 12061 5069
MY ice 0 289 927

Date: 2016-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8480 277 0
FY ice 700 12525 4601
MY ice 0 300 976
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7500 301 0
FY ice 1680 12458 4708
MY ice 0 343 869


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