Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-10-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19991 624 2
FY ice 575 4852 6946
MY ice 0 70 8299
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18820 166 2
FY ice 1124 8159 4719
MY ice 0 169 8200
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19397 756 0
FY ice 277 11325 1608
MY ice 0 663 7577
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19085 481 0
FY ice 745 13119 1414
MY ice 0 660 7482
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19077 367 0
FY ice 753 13177 1278
MY ice 0 716 7618

Date: 2016-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18121 133 0
FY ice 1801 12884 1617
MY ice 0 648 7532
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18146 104 0
FY ice 1776 12828 1474
MY ice 0 733 7675

Date: 2016-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20408 518 0
FY ice 136 11748 1690
MY ice 0 746 7809
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17161 128 0
FY ice 3383 12077 1518
MY ice 0 807 7981

Date: 2016-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18560 1003 0
FY ice 435 12537 1491
MY ice 0 683 7910
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15797 403 0
FY ice 3198 13072 1413
MY ice 0 748 7988

Date: 2016-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16213 793 0
FY ice 1065 14349 1546
MY ice 0 769 7908
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15016 389 0
FY ice 2262 14746 1463
MY ice 0 776 7991


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