Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-10-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 130688 864 25
FY ice 1576 9443 18807
MY ice 0 81 16205
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 128567 449 7
FY ice 2306 15128 15171
MY ice 0 292 16189
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 129106 1302 0
FY ice 881 21122 9659
MY ice 0 770 15211
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 128040 1175 0
FY ice 1418 26292 6645
MY ice 0 1095 14106
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 127866 1056 0
FY ice 1592 26315 6944
MY ice 0 1191 13807

Date: 2016-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 126548 688 0
FY ice 2644 25598 8282
MY ice 0 916 14409
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 126270 699 0
FY ice 2922 25478 8402
MY ice 0 1025 14289

Date: 2016-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 129480 1091 0
FY ice 221 24650 8691
MY ice 0 1049 14254
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 124530 660 0
FY ice 5171 24993 8654
MY ice 0 1137 14291

Date: 2016-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 126944 1738 0
FY ice 589 25946 8189
MY ice 0 1215 13733
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 122418 1039 0
FY ice 5115 26555 8254
MY ice 0 1305 13668

Date: 2016-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 123096 1457 0
FY ice 1817 27986 8493
MY ice 0 1152 14126
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 120631 987 0
FY ice 4282 28414 8455
MY ice 0 1194 14164


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