Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-10-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137572 580 8
FY ice 915 9076 14342
MY ice 0 206 16046
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 136074 675 51
FY ice 1739 8595 15990
MY ice 0 235 15610
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135519 847 7
FY ice 580 9572 15511
MY ice 0 281 16194
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 132133 1255 6
FY ice 1096 10844 16962
MY ice 0 183 16297
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 132265 1547 4
FY ice 964 10499 17125
MY ice 0 236 16136

Date: 2016-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 129996 430 30
FY ice 2393 13550 15839
MY ice 0 280 16107
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 130107 741 51
FY ice 2282 13215 15940
MY ice 0 304 15985

Date: 2016-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 129972 868 0
FY ice 226 17727 13303
MY ice 0 410 16043
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 127807 693 0
FY ice 2391 17869 13391
MY ice 0 443 15955

Date: 2016-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 128437 1064 0
FY ice 1203 23715 7780
MY ice 0 981 14488
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 126629 955 0
FY ice 3011 23652 7691
MY ice 0 1153 14577

Date: 2016-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 127368 1190 0
FY ice 1843 25935 6986
MY ice 0 1178 13996
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 124596 1949 0
FY ice 4615 24973 6683
MY ice 0 1381 14299


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