Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice type - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-10-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16494 80 10
FY ice 89 2801 7507
MY ice 0 0 2142
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16564 41 15
FY ice 225 2462 7099
MY ice 0 1 2112
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16521 65 0
FY ice 145 2822 7277
MY ice 0 1 2168
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15808 96 2
FY ice 493 3234 7405
MY ice 0 51 2054
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15500 79 1
FY ice 801 3274 7858
MY ice 0 28 1602

Date: 2016-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14856 69 0
FY ice 915 3270 7574
MY ice 0 0 2054
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14510 104 0
FY ice 1261 3234 7986
MY ice 0 1 1642

Date: 2016-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0

Date: 2016-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13485 345 4
FY ice 560 4388 8279
MY ice 0 44 2010
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12550 279 1
FY ice 1495 4454 8635
MY ice 0 44 1657

Date: 2016-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12452 45 0
FY ice 996 3918 9551
MY ice 0 1 1962
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11939 260 2
FY ice 1509 3699 9813
MY ice 0 5 1698


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