Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-10-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24517 566 2
FY ice 140 3255 3754
MY ice 0 201 7981
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24860 223 25
FY ice 56 3195 4512
MY ice 0 156 7912
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24525 221 6
FY ice 36 4612 4095
MY ice 0 175 7889
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24002 279 0
FY ice 140 4354 4687
MY ice 0 147 7972
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23844 323 2
FY ice 298 4274 4505
MY ice 0 183 8152

Date: 2016-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23092 189 7
FY ice 220 4708 5204
MY ice 0 174 8004
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22979 227 7
FY ice 333 4631 5017
MY ice 0 213 8191

Date: 2016-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0

Date: 2016-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21994 568 0
FY ice 358 4791 5642
MY ice 0 172 8099
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21432 591 0
FY ice 920 4763 5523
MY ice 0 177 8218

Date: 2016-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19991 624 2
FY ice 575 4852 6946
MY ice 0 70 8299
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19952 831 8
FY ice 614 4613 6940
MY ice 0 102 8299


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