Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-10-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 25353 0 0
FY ice 50 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 25885 384 1
FY ice 125 2995 2638
MY ice 0 45 7813
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 25153 400 0
FY ice 21 3531 3357
MY ice 0 176 7944
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24662 761 2
FY ice 129 3289 3505
MY ice 0 196 8025
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24640 712 0
FY ice 151 3314 3345
MY ice 0 220 8187

Date: 2016-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24752 330 7
FY ice 56 3030 4196
MY ice 0 136 7957
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24741 285 6
FY ice 67 3056 4034
MY ice 0 155 8120

Date: 2016-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24984 165 14
FY ice 18 4087 4332
MY ice 0 106 7879
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24889 296 24
FY ice 113 3831 4205
MY ice 0 231 7996

Date: 2016-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24140 369 1
FY ice 118 4316 4285
MY ice 0 114 7944
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24119 426 8
FY ice 139 4140 4127
MY ice 0 233 8095

Date: 2016-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23576 217 3
FY ice 155 4997 4758
MY ice 0 165 8005
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23464 584 9
FY ice 267 4531 4642
MY ice 0 264 8115


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