Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-10-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 141516 0 0
FY ice 232 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 141795 821 2
FY ice 391 6042 10146
MY ice 3 971 14871
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 141035 745 3
FY ice 44 7034 8541
MY ice 0 346 15833
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 140601 1021 21
FY ice 230 6453 12021
MY ice 0 196 16731
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 140516 1000 19
FY ice 315 6444 12105
MY ice 0 226 16649

Date: 2016-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 140500 584 31
FY ice 218 6080 13231
MY ice 0 136 16533
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 140341 564 29
FY ice 377 6080 13348
MY ice 0 156 16418

Date: 2016-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 140751 386 23
FY ice 75 7587 13323
MY ice 0 241 15962
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 140168 687 33
FY ice 658 7209 13575
MY ice 0 318 15700

Date: 2016-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138878 847 6
FY ice 479 8189 13678
MY ice 0 244 16146
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138696 1014 13
FY ice 661 7936 13968
MY ice 0 330 15849

Date: 2016-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137572 580 8
FY ice 915 9076 14342
MY ice 0 206 16046
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137466 987 14
FY ice 1021 8595 14789
MY ice 0 280 15593


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