Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-05-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1237 113 0
FY ice 400 10541 63
MY ice 12 11892 6521
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1331 120 0
FY ice 461 8053 853
MY ice 50 7453 7035
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1670 0 0
FY ice 277 0 0
MY ice 43 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2072 0 0
FY ice 475 0 0
MY ice 69 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2058 0 0
FY ice 482 0 0
MY ice 76 0 0

Date: 2016-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2411 0 0
FY ice 636 0 0
MY ice 91 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2396 0 0
FY ice 633 0 0
MY ice 109 0 0

Date: 2016-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3053 0 0
FY ice 529 0 0
MY ice 11 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2647 0 0
FY ice 805 0 0
MY ice 141 0 0

Date: 2016-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3374 0 0
FY ice 508 0 0
MY ice 52 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2856 0 0
FY ice 852 0 0
MY ice 226 0 0

Date: 2016-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3400 0 0
FY ice 504 0 0
MY ice 51 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2879 0 0
FY ice 863 0 0
MY ice 213 0 0


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