Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-05-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87899 1082 1
FY ice 26 8460 1288
MY ice 0 596 2968
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88324 944 1
FY ice 31 8556 1213
MY ice 0 1119 2660
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88028 1131 0
FY ice 14 8616 199
MY ice 0 549 2919
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88393 1143 0
FY ice 72 8508 126
MY ice 0 685 1971
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88387 1158 0
FY ice 78 8525 120
MY ice 0 653 1977

Date: 2016-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88797 936 8
FY ice 167 8310 120
MY ice 0 932 2202
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88801 969 7
FY ice 163 8284 128
MY ice 0 925 2195

Date: 2016-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89218 930 0
FY ice 39 8420 28
MY ice 0 983 1328
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89151 931 12
FY ice 106 8360 34
MY ice 0 1042 1310

Date: 2016-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90031 1010 0
FY ice 101 7849 48
MY ice 0 793 1363
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89867 1060 0
FY ice 265 7748 48
MY ice 0 844 1363

Date: 2016-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90519 1223 0
FY ice 190 8455 8
MY ice 0 730 1280
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90274 1278 0
FY ice 435 8366 8
MY ice 0 764 1280


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