Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-05-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 70 21 0
FY ice 478 13107 682
MY ice 0 9415 9023
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 126 37 0
FY ice 608 13272 518
MY ice 0 10625 8298
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 481 130 0
FY ice 530 12949 441
MY ice 0 10308 7550
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 376 135 0
FY ice 496 13097 186
MY ice 0 10695 7487
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 414 160 0
FY ice 458 13131 216
MY ice 0 10636 7457

Date: 2016-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 386 103 0
FY ice 709 12911 163
MY ice 0 11554 6731
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 428 130 0
FY ice 667 12952 182
MY ice 0 11486 6712

Date: 2016-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 826 263 0
FY ice 256 12614 103
MY ice 0 11301 6928
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 420 198 0
FY ice 662 12758 126
MY ice 0 11222 6905

Date: 2016-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1111 145 0
FY ice 355 12213 38
MY ice 6 11132 7052
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 623 78 0
FY ice 838 12435 38
MY ice 11 10977 7052

Date: 2016-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1237 113 0
FY ice 400 10541 63
MY ice 12 11892 6521
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 786 58 0
FY ice 847 10880 68
MY ice 16 11608 6516


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