Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-04-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84532 1196 7
FY ice 247 43627 2560
MY ice 0 13499 15618
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84655 888 29
FY ice 198 43177 2390
MY ice 0 13608 15720
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85510 858 6
FY ice 59 42760 2292
MY ice 0 14103 14832
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85526 1103 10
FY ice 54 42802 2075
MY ice 0 14684 14275
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85528 1116 10
FY ice 52 42765 2115
MY ice 0 14708 14235

Date: 2016-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86963 1005 0
FY ice 221 42446 2093
MY ice 1 14722 14324
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86981 1017 0
FY ice 204 42357 2135
MY ice 0 14799 14282

Date: 2016-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87564 1037 0
FY ice 240 42320 1910
MY ice 0 15342 13726
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87391 1059 0
FY ice 413 42030 1933
MY ice 0 15610 13703

Date: 2016-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88514 1177 2
FY ice 484 41344 1844
MY ice 0 15944 12753
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88328 1232 2
FY ice 670 40961 1893
MY ice 0 16272 12704

Date: 2016-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88881 1124 1
FY ice 566 40753 2143
MY ice 0 17083 12065
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88739 1303 1
FY ice 708 40114 2310
MY ice 0 17543 11898


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