Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-04-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 0 0
FY ice 45 14687 449
MY ice 0 9952 8670
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 10 8762 1242
MY ice 1 8365 6140
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6 9 0
FY ice 6 13617 941
MY ice 0 7471 11339
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 13677 860
MY ice 0 8086 10317
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 13544 912
MY ice 0 8219 10265

Date: 2016-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 4 13095 1097
MY ice 0 7522 11285
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 7 0
FY ice 4 13119 1155
MY ice 0 7491 11227

Date: 2016-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 3 13039 1125
MY ice 0 7644 10508
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 3 13026 1162
MY ice 0 7657 10471

Date: 2016-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 2 0
FY ice 5 12954 1125
MY ice 0 7723 10730
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 6 0
FY ice 5 12916 1132
MY ice 0 7757 10723

Date: 2016-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 28 0
FY ice 5 12940 1059
MY ice 0 7959 10385
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 7 0
FY ice 4 12922 1063
MY ice 1 7998 10381


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