Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-03-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86916 672 24
FY ice 843 40780 3096
MY ice 0 10770 18044
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86845 629 36
FY ice 939 40290 2347
MY ice 0 11816 17305
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86885 894 38
FY ice 396 40246 2906
MY ice 0 11258 18311
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85075 1050 73
FY ice 1159 40734 3733
MY ice 0 10542 18868
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85084 1054 63
FY ice 1150 40579 3795
MY ice 0 10693 18816

Date: 2016-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84818 888 133
FY ice 1185 42142 3414
MY ice 0 10345 18895
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84857 881 132
FY ice 1146 41955 3509
MY ice 0 10539 18801

Date: 2016-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85522 677 55
FY ice 410 43023 3654
MY ice 0 10279 18349
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84895 673 144
FY ice 1037 42722 3583
MY ice 0 10584 18331

Date: 2016-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85284 762 13
FY ice 521 43635 3722
MY ice 0 10031 18537
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84938 818 56
FY ice 867 43186 3691
MY ice 0 10424 18525

Date: 2016-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85567 590 47
FY ice 494 44110 3642
MY ice 0 9790 18125
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85230 706 93
FY ice 830 43761 3545
MY ice 1 10023 18176


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