Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-03-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 15605 968
MY ice 0 3828 13925
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 9 14899 1052
MY ice 0 3696 14400
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 14391 1096
MY ice 0 3862 14589
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 3 14165 1031
MY ice 0 4353 14677
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 3 14019 1175
MY ice 0 4499 14533

Date: 2016-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 13771 1157
MY ice 0 5267 13203
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 13638 1286
MY ice 0 5400 13074

Date: 2016-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 13741 1016
MY ice 0 5532 13109
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 13572 1208
MY ice 0 5701 12917

Date: 2016-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 13310 1100
MY ice 0 5572 12978
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 13102 1185
MY ice 0 5780 12893

Date: 2016-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 1 13135 1249
MY ice 0 5077 13542
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 1 12877 1377
MY ice 0 5335 13414


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