Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-01-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87685 593 55
FY ice 300 46914 4679
MY ice 0 5429 21192
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87566 366 90
FY ice 496 46024 4387
MY ice 0 5580 21338
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88041 359 149
FY ice 261 46363 3326
MY ice 0 5858 19647
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87795 225 146
FY ice 892 45736 3861
MY ice 0 6161 20197
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87817 233 164
FY ice 870 45427 3828
MY ice 0 6462 20212

Date: 2016-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87277 282 208
FY ice 1258 45263 4567
MY ice 0 6147 20555
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87282 290 208
FY ice 1253 44968 4569
MY ice 0 6434 20553

Date: 2016-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87867 270 264
FY ice 544 45001 4517
MY ice 0 6037 20671
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86894 241 277
FY ice 1517 44762 4343
MY ice 0 6305 20832

Date: 2016-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87612 217 154
FY ice 1478 44167 4569
MY ice 0 5940 20714
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86670 239 172
FY ice 2420 43824 4336
MY ice 0 6261 20929

Date: 2016-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86960 343 102
FY ice 1189 44690 4841
MY ice 0 5972 20666
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86162 322 98
FY ice 1987 44442 4629
MY ice 0 6241 20882


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