Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-01-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86870 858 16
FY ice 293 7748 1442
MY ice 0 130 6069
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87104 743 30
FY ice 463 7747 1350
MY ice 0 107 5915
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87349 618 51
FY ice 185 7436 1545
MY ice 0 83 5820
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87049 660 190
FY ice 163 8127 1503
MY ice 0 100 5496
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87049 647 193
FY ice 163 8132 1475
MY ice 0 108 5521

Date: 2016-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87436 537 23
FY ice 207 7993 1414
MY ice 0 104 5363
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87404 510 19
FY ice 239 7996 1449
MY ice 0 128 5332

Date: 2016-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87357 495 77
FY ice 126 7242 1513
MY ice 0 92 5008
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86910 396 86
FY ice 573 7320 1472
MY ice 0 113 5040

Date: 2016-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87149 382 192
FY ice 506 6676 1981
MY ice 0 30 4705
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86734 295 156
FY ice 921 6768 1990
MY ice 0 25 4732

Date: 2016-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86765 267 181
FY ice 802 6128 2487
MY ice 0 26 5497
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86336 230 156
FY ice 1231 6173 2430
MY ice 0 18 5579


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