Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-12-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11 0 0
FY ice 393 20886 953
MY ice 0 1687 12680
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 36 21019 895
MY ice 0 1626 12504
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21450 626
MY ice 0 1926 12141
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21566 216
MY ice 0 2851 11126
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21406 225
MY ice 0 3011 11117

Date: 2016-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21367 571
MY ice 0 2187 12022
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21202 562
MY ice 0 2352 12031

Date: 2016-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 3 0
FY ice 0 21533 442
MY ice 0 2285 11893
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21377 415
MY ice 0 2444 11920

Date: 2016-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 45 0
FY ice 2 21765 368
MY ice 0 2518 11579
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 11 0
FY ice 2 21657 370
MY ice 0 2660 11577

Date: 2016-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 23 0
FY ice 4 22083 250
MY ice 0 2672 11093
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 4 21858 254
MY ice 0 2920 11089


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