Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-12-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89766 518 0
FY ice 729 7836 38
MY ice 0 439 5558
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90373 442 0
FY ice 1415 7188 16
MY ice 0 466 5432
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90592 474 0
FY ice 632 6929 214
MY ice 0 367 5580
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89390 454 0
FY ice 919 7513 376
MY ice 0 165 5982
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89373 434 0
FY ice 936 7518 405
MY ice 0 180 5953

Date: 2015-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89452 464 0
FY ice 1147 7667 443
MY ice 0 174 6009
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89407 442 0
FY ice 1192 7702 411
MY ice 0 161 6041

Date: 2015-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89144 669 0
FY ice 262 8277 262
MY ice 0 174 5788
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88650 560 0
FY ice 756 8381 262
MY ice 0 179 5788

Date: 2015-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89268 624 0
FY ice 568 6975 795
MY ice 0 874 3913
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88605 586 0
FY ice 1231 7027 755
MY ice 0 860 3953

Date: 2016-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89444 620 0
FY ice 670 6362 893
MY ice 0 346 5302
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88879 673 0
FY ice 1235 6418 843
MY ice 0 237 5352


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