Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-12-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91465 543 0
FY ice 1455 49515 2942
MY ice 0 3451 21222
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91470 442 0
FY ice 1898 49299 2441
MY ice 0 3574 21008
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92062 493 0
FY ice 1022 48255 3119
MY ice 0 3067 21573
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90422 454 0
FY ice 1606 49645 2965
MY ice 0 3085 21642
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90465 434 0
FY ice 1563 49298 2908
MY ice 0 3452 21699

Date: 2015-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90676 464 0
FY ice 2142 50056 2605
MY ice 0 3024 21278
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90732 442 0
FY ice 2086 49713 2556
MY ice 0 3389 21327

Date: 2015-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90883 697 0
FY ice 345 51726 1516
MY ice 0 3963 19650
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89656 560 0
FY ice 1572 51476 1487
MY ice 0 4350 19679

Date: 2015-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90284 637 0
FY ice 873 50784 1553
MY ice 0 5914 15590
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89179 594 0
FY ice 1978 50445 1549
MY ice 0 6296 15594

Date: 2016-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90771 640 0
FY ice 1099 49956 1450
MY ice 0 5054 18364
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89523 768 0
FY ice 2347 49575 1511
MY ice 0 5307 18303


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