Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-12-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90658 858 0
FY ice 885 6359 780
MY ice 0 246 5955
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90273 819 0
FY ice 998 6670 750
MY ice 0 349 5963
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90527 633 1
FY ice 372 6885 674
MY ice 0 394 5939
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89983 475 0
FY ice 620 7565 162
MY ice 0 315 5866
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89936 473 0
FY ice 667 7655 178
MY ice 0 227 5850

Date: 2015-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90036 494 0
FY ice 1136 7469 38
MY ice 0 429 5574
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89989 502 0
FY ice 1183 7594 51
MY ice 0 296 5561

Date: 2015-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91191 514 0
FY ice 433 6911 123
MY ice 0 524 5180
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89986 493 0
FY ice 1638 7036 120
MY ice 0 420 5183

Date: 2015-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89621 473 0
FY ice 731 7435 269
MY ice 0 319 5615
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88978 464 0
FY ice 1374 7462 308
MY ice 0 301 5576

Date: 2015-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89801 507 0
FY ice 990 7464 413
MY ice 0 156 6004
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88851 524 0
FY ice 1940 7447 363
MY ice 0 156 6054


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