Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-12-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1886 0 0
FY ice 142 20031 1512
MY ice 0 1485 13162
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1370 0 0
FY ice 111 19832 1527
MY ice 0 1398 13284
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 893 0 0
FY ice 66 19493 1707
MY ice 0 1433 13305
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 811 49 0
FY ice 422 20037 1158
MY ice 0 1476 13106
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 902 43 0
FY ice 331 19972 1158
MY ice 0 1547 13106

Date: 2015-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 479 0 0
FY ice 550 20656 1072
MY ice 0 1485 12742
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 605 0 0
FY ice 424 20615 1082
MY ice 0 1526 12732

Date: 2015-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 35 0 0
FY ice 8 20812 1172
MY ice 0 1443 12898
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14 0 0
FY ice 29 20832 1156
MY ice 0 1423 12914

Date: 2015-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12 0 0
FY ice 183 20197 1524
MY ice 0 1396 13103
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 0 0
FY ice 190 20246 1464
MY ice 0 1347 13163

Date: 2015-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11 0 0
FY ice 393 20886 953
MY ice 0 1687 12680
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7 0 0
FY ice 397 20720 866
MY ice 0 1853 12767


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