Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-12-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92983 486 0
FY ice 869 4960 847
MY ice 0 677 4959
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92325 599 0
FY ice 1077 5487 156
MY ice 0 316 5611
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92223 639 2
FY ice 437 5612 784
MY ice 0 219 5951
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91144 650 0
FY ice 892 6237 703
MY ice 0 227 5879
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91080 656 0
FY ice 956 6282 731
MY ice 0 176 5851

Date: 2015-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90305 852 0
FY ice 953 6486 809
MY ice 0 311 5973
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90256 864 0
FY ice 1002 6580 808
MY ice 0 205 5974

Date: 2015-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90907 819 0
FY ice 185 6715 702
MY ice 0 427 5912
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90065 681 0
FY ice 1027 6983 706
MY ice 0 297 5908

Date: 2015-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90200 587 0
FY ice 711 7115 514
MY ice 0 333 6083
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89880 514 0
FY ice 1031 7311 523
MY ice 0 210 6074

Date: 2015-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89766 518 0
FY ice 729 7836 38
MY ice 0 439 5558
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89460 522 0
FY ice 1014 7857 40
MY ice 21 414 5556


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